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    II.  Executive Overview
    
    
    
    The outlook for new in vitro diagnostics (IVDs) for
    
    cardiovascular diseases has never been brighter.  Several trends
    
    are converging to make the prospects for new cardiovascular IVDs
    
    especially promising: recognition that cardiovascular disease is
    
    a growing worldwide problem; dissatisfaction with currentdiagnostic 
    
    methods; scientific advances that have linked
    
    substances in blood and, increasingly, genetic factors to
    
    cardiovascular disorders; and new treatment approaches that
    
    require quick and accurate diagnosis, along with regular
    
    monitoring of patients' responses to follow-up therapies.
    
    
    
    Relative to other types of disease, cardiovascular disorders
    
    are actually becoming somewhat less important than they used to
    
    be in the industrialized world.  In 1985, cardiovascular disease
    
    accounted for some 51% of deaths in the industrialized nations;
    
    by 1997, the fraction had declined to 46%.  Nevertheless,
    
    cardiovascular disease remains by far the most important health
    
    problem in these countries.  And in the rest of the world,
    
    cardiovascular disease is rapidly displacing infections and
    
    malnutrition as the most important killers: it accounted for 24%
    
    of deaths in 1997 in less developed countries, up from 16% in
    
    1985.
    
    
    
         This change reflects increasing affluence, which often means
    
    more animal fat in the diet, greater rates of cigarette smoking
    
    and less exercise, as well as longer lifespans that allow people 
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    
    V. Products in Development Introduction: Types of Products Cardiovascular IVD products fall into two main categories: those for diagnosing ongoing events such as heart attack and monitoring the patient's current condition, and those for assessing risk for future events. The latter is clearly the biggest growth area. Most ongoing cardiovascular disorders and events are already relatively easy to diagnose with current blood tests, imaging and electromonitoring devices, although of course there is plenty of room for improvement. Identifying patients at heightened risk for serious cardiovascular events, on the other hand, is still in its infancy. Standard tests such as cholesterol analyses are effective as far as they go, but they are fairly non-specific, pointing to only one early-stage factor in the development of cardiovascular disease. Research -- especially in the gene-hunting field -- is progressing rapidly on other aspects of heart and vascular disease. This is leading to whole new classes of IVDs to identify patients at special risk for heart attacks as well as chronic cardiovascular problems such as hypertension and heart failure.
    Organizational Activities American Biogenetic Sciences Inc. (Boston, MA) ABSI is focusing on a target it calls Thrombus Precursor Protein (TpP), a proprietary name for soluble fibrin. As its name suggests, the fibrin protein forms long, thread-like structures. These are one of the most important components of blood clots. Prior to actual clot formation, soluble fibrin complexes begin to appear in the blood. These are the target of two TpP assays marketed or in development at ABSI. One is an immunoassay for use in clinical labs, recently introduced to the U.S. market. ABSI has also begun a program, in collaboration with New Horizons Diagnostics Corp. (Columbia, MD), to adapt the assay to a rapid point-of-care product. ABSI and New Horizons are attempting to develop a hand-held device that will measure soluble fibrin levels in five minutes. A prototype has been developed. ABSI maintains business offices in Copiague, NY, while its research and development is headquartered in Boston. American Society of Hypertension (New York, NY) Researchers at the Society and elsewhere have found a statistical association between high plasma renin levels and incidence of heart attack in white men. Renin is well known to be associated with hypertension; how it might have an independent effect on the development of acute thrombotic conditions is not clear. Interestingly, the relationship was non-existent or less pronounced for other patient groups, including women, African-Americans and younger patients generally. Plasma renin tests are already routinely available but predicting heart attack


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